Posted in samgang private blog on 23/10/10
^V^
Answer 2 those who asked me where is my buy call on Kencana @ 1.37 ? well.. after yr yearly renewal of samgang membership, I am sure all of u hv rec'd my Fa Methodology in email called ebook 2 ( read d below ) :-
This ebook 2 was issued in month of may -june 2010, as can be seen, I hv mentioned about kencana @ 1.37 , Sunway @1.53 n XXXXX @ 0.98 , with d blessing of god , all of them DELIVERED !
Pls read n understand my FA method that written in ebook 2 , this is my " FA formula" , by using this FA method , I can assure u that yr chances of winning in shares mkt is > 80% !
PE Vs Market / Sector
What is PE vs Mkt / sector ?
This is quite simple , PE of KLSE u can get it from d XXXXXXX ( formula = add up all XXXXXXXX under KLSE index stock n divide by dXXXXXX ) , 4 lazy man like me , I always get it from the XXXXXXXXX ^_-
Compare yr XXXXXX with XXXXXXX , of course u must choose those XXXXXX lower than XXXXXXX ! but…. If yr XXXXXXX is ard 20+ , it is not necessary a good buy even mkt XXXXXX is standing @ above 30 ! this means d whole mkt is over value ( super bull run )
PE vs Sector , still remember our Alam @ 0.95+ in year 2009 ? read d below, see yrself how much I bot alam in May 2009 ? Current alam 's price is after x ( bonus issued , other wise she shld traded ard 2.00 +- )
http://samgang.blogspot.com/2009/05/v-warrant-can-make-u-rich-how-2-pick.html
I hv said that, Alam is traded @ PE ard 7+, one of d cheapest among O N G stocks, look at alam today ^_- almost 100% gain if one buy @ 0.95 ^_- that’s y I choose kencana @ 1.37 , she is now traded @ PE ard 10+ ( cheapest among all d O N G stocks ) this is what ppl called XXXXXXx !
Sometimes , u may get stock which traded @ very low PE ! but still hardly move ! y ? 2 reasons :-
1) XXXXXX
2 XXXXX stock
How 2 avoid from buying these stocks ?
1) XXXXXx! look at d average XXXXX done by this stock !
2) XXXXXX for this stock , look at its XXXXXXXX “>>> PE” n also itsXXXXXX “???? PE”
4 example , if XXXXXX ???? for kencana is ard 18+ n ???? is ard 8 , u can see that @ current price of 1.37 (PE ??????) is actually a good buy , quite close to its ?????? n still far from its XXXXXXX , this is what ppl called by PE vs sector.
I want 2 add in 1 more stuff, my own stuff that called COMPANY SENTIMENT ! Y I choose ???? @ 1.03 n Myeg @ 0.45 ? it is bcos XXXXXXXX at beginning of d year , no one knows how well these companies do ??????XXXXXXXX , if these stocks r traded @ XXXXXXXXX + bosses or fund managers XXXXXXXXX , chances 4 u 2 make $$$$ r many times greater ! FYI ! stock ?????? fell under this !
Gearing = 0 , debt free ! bosses buying in heavily lately , price stood @ almost ????? , We stand a good chance 2 profit from her !
Touch a little bit on warrant, what is in money warrant n out money warrant ?
Criteria:-
Expiry date must be at least ????, d longest d better !
Example ;_
Warrant A= 0.??
Mom = ??00
Conversion = 0.??
Yr cost = 0.xx + 0.?? = 1.??
1.?? minus mom xx.00 = (0?? ) means u r losing twenty cts here .
Due 2 time factor n inflation cost , this warrant a is still considered as in money warrant ! y ?
Simple:-
By not buying its mom @ ??00 , u buy its warrant @ 0.xx , this will save u about 0.?? , right ?
0.??= Rm500.00
Presume expiry date 4 this warrant is 5 years , hence..
RM500 that u saved , u put it in FD, average FD is ard 6%
So..RM500 x 6% = RM530
RM530 x 6% = RM531.8
RM531.8 x 6%= RM563.7
RM563.7 x 6% = RM597.5
RM597.5 x 6%= RM633
So ..u r actually saving RM133 from not buying mom (RM???-???)
+ Inflation cost ..all these will give u saving ard RM300.
Hence… even U bought warrant @ 0.?? (0.?? +0.??= 1.??, 1.??-1.00/1.00x 100% = 30% ), @ 0.?? still considered as in money !
Now look at ????-wa… Mom 0.98, warrant =0.48 , conversion =0.50
Yr cost = 0.?? + 0.??=0.?? , mom is now 0.?? , hence..0.?? – 0.98= 0 premium, as I said, premium below 30% is considered as in money , 0 is far below 30% !!!
Cheap ? ^_-
This is how u calculate warrant ^_-
4 sunway case:-
Y I choose Sunway @ 1.53 n not its warrant (Sunway-wa) ? y ?
Simple,
Sunway mom = 1.??
Warrant = 0.??
Conversion = 1.??
So..1.?? + 0.??= ?.05 (yr cost ) ?.05-1.??= 0.??, 0.??/1.?? x 100%= 34% !
34% is above 30%, hence this warrant is OUT OF MONEY ! that’s y I go 4 its mom Sunway @1.53 .
2 Highgain n mike loser out there , wanna 2 learn ? ha ha macam mana ? yr ( TA ) tak ada akal method does not work ka ?
Is Technical ANALysis works ? MY FOOT !!!
******
Makan time !
What 2 recommend today ? it is Fried Chicken n Curry G Cheong Fun at Jalan Sayur為食街 PUDU !
Place: Jalan Sayur Food Street (Pudu, KL)
Location : Near Pudu
GPS Coordinate : N3 08.108 E101 42.773
There r many yummy stuffs in Jalan Sayur, stuffs like Pork Porridge , Char kuey teow , pork noodles ... but d best yummy stuffs among all r its Curry G Cheong Fun n Fried Chicken , these 2 r d must try stuffs , its fried chicken is very crunchy n tasty , much better than KFC, seeing is believing ! look at d crowd lining up in picture ! lau how sui ?
Other than fried chicken , its curry G Cheong fun is another stuff that u must not miss ! d g cheong fun there r soft n smooth , curry is damn tasty, one plate is definitely not enough 4 為食 ghost like me ^_-
If u think I am bullshitting ? try it ! u will definitely thanks me 4 recommending such yummy foods 2 u ^_-
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