Thursday, March 19, 2009

^V^ Who wants to be millionaire ? XXX =AIG @ 0.60+- ^V^



^V^

Bingo ! some of u guys got it right , XXX is AIG ! Y AIG ? FA ? of course "NO", AIG is in deep shit now, huge debt awaitng 4 her to settle, PE is negative worr? then y buy AIG ? uncle sam gila liaooo ?? ha ha

Pls read d below YM between me n HT Tan on 13 March 09:-

***
GOS (3/15/2009 4:06:02 PM): ym me when u free.
GOS (3/15/2009 4:06:12 PM): something good to share with u
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:21:09 PM): hi, just see ur msg
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:21:17 PM): than login again
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:21:27 PM): wht? want to share with me
GOS (3/15/2009 4:22:23 PM): wait pls
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:28:00 PM): ok
GOS (3/15/2009 4:34:06 PM): k
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:34:24 PM): yes...
GOS (3/15/2009 4:34:26 PM): .we missed out one US stock
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:34:32 PM): aiyooo
GOS (3/15/2009 4:34:35 PM): i hv bot it b4
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:34:37 PM): now u tell me
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:34:40 PM):
GOS (3/15/2009 4:34:44 PM): i am really stupid
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:35:03 PM): dun said like tht la.. we never thk so much one la..
GOS (3/15/2009 4:35:05 PM): i am not aware of it
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:35:15 PM): hahha...
GOS (3/15/2009 4:35:29 PM): ask u
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:35:38 PM): yeah ...
GOS (3/15/2009 4:36:17 PM): if u got chance to make >300K with capital of 6K+-..do u interested ??
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:36:31 PM): yes la of coz
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:36:33 PM): hahaha
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:36:38 PM): citigroup i also thk tht way
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:36:40 PM):
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:36:42 PM): but i sold too early
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:36:46 PM): hahahha
GOS (3/15/2009 4:36:53 PM): we r really stupid
GOS (3/15/2009 4:37:09 PM): that stock is actually AIG
GOS (3/15/2009 4:37:18 PM): she came down to 0.33 d other day
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:37:23 PM): ic...
GOS (3/15/2009 4:37:27 PM): now is 0.58
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:37:27 PM): ooo than now leh
GOS (3/15/2009 4:37:35 PM): u know..
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:37:39 PM): ic.... u wanna to buy now
GOS (3/15/2009 4:37:43 PM): if we could get it @ 0.35
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:38:02 PM): i dunno u.s stock unless u tell me hahhaa...
GOS (3/15/2009 4:38:09 PM): 350 x 3.6 = 1,250 rinngit per lot
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:38:13 PM): AIG is big co
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:38:24 PM): wshhh do cheap
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:38:27 PM):
GOS (3/15/2009 4:38:27 PM): aig came down from USD80 to 0.33
GOS (3/15/2009 4:38:51 PM): those days, USD80= 80K x 3.6=288K per lot !!
GOS (3/15/2009 4:39:03 PM): from 288k to 1.2 K
GOS (3/15/2009 4:39:11 PM): how much they lose!??
GOS (3/15/2009 4:39:24 PM): my whole ideal is...
GOS (3/15/2009 4:39:37 PM): if one buy aig @ 0.50 n below
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:39:38 PM): yeah lor
GOS (3/15/2009 4:39:55 PM): 500 x 3.6=1,800 per lot
GOS (3/15/2009 4:40:08 PM): 5 lots = 9K
GOS (3/15/2009 4:40:17 PM): keep it for 3 to 5 years
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:40:21 PM): ic...
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:40:25 PM): yeah
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:40:31 PM): good
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:40:48 PM): i want
GOS (3/15/2009 4:40:49 PM): as long as AIG still exist in US stock exchange
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:40:49 PM):
GOS (3/15/2009 4:41:07 PM): for her to bounce back to USD > 10 is a sure thing
GOS (3/15/2009 4:41:14 PM): let take USD 15
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:41:22 PM): yeah it same as citigroup lor i feel this kind of share is worth to take risk
GOS (3/15/2009 4:41:26 PM): 15 x 3.6= 54K per lot
GOS (3/15/2009 4:41:30 PM): if u hv 5 lots
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:41:31 PM):
GOS (3/15/2009 4:41:39 PM): 54K x 5 = 270K
GOS (3/15/2009 4:41:48 PM): from just 9k capital
GOS (3/15/2009 4:41:52 PM): worth ?
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:41:55 PM): worth
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:41:57 PM):
GOS (3/15/2009 4:42:12 PM): but u hv to take d risk of she goes bankrupt or delisted from nyse!
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:42:17 PM): but it can come down to 50 cent or not now already 60cent wow
GOS (3/15/2009 4:42:26 PM): that 's problem
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:42:31 PM): yeah lor
GOS (3/15/2009 4:42:41 PM): can u take d risk ?
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:42:49 PM): hahaha.. u see the genting also not coming down
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:42:49 PM): yes i can take risk
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:42:49 PM):
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:42:54 PM): this citigroup i also take risk one
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:42:55 PM):
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:43:01 PM): i tell d ... big small mah
GOS (3/15/2009 4:43:10 PM): if u can..go 4 it !
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:43:19 PM): ok... u help me place order la
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:43:23 PM): i need to depend on u d
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:43:24 PM):
GOS (3/15/2009 4:43:38 PM): i will not buy at current level..
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:43:45 PM): ok.. u help me decide la
GOS (3/15/2009 4:43:52 PM): i will wait 4 little while
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:43:55 PM): i trust u
GOS (3/15/2009 4:43:56 PM): let c how..
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:43:56 PM): hahaha
GOS (3/15/2009 4:44:09 PM): <0.70 u interested or not ? i will place my buy order @ 0.60 2molo
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:44:09 PM): u jump in tht time help me to buy as well lor
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:44:37 PM): how much u thk is worth it leh..
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:44:47 PM): if 60 cent than buy one step by step lor
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:44:53 PM): buy in stages
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:44:55 PM):
GOS (3/15/2009 4:45:10 PM): once she reach 15 = 15 x 3.6= 54K
GOS (3/15/2009 4:45:30 PM): 54K - 3.2K= nett profit 51K per lot !!!
ht tan (3/15/2009 4:45:30 PM): u thk leh.. wht do u thk
GOS (3/15/2009 4:45:32 PM): worth ?

***

Got my points there ?

If u can take d calculated risk ( AIG Delisted from NYSE!?? i think it is quite unlikely , US Gov learned their lesson well from lehman bros, d chances 4 AIG to be delisted is less than 10% )

Presuming if u got it @ USD 0.60 d other day ,

0.60 x 3.6= RM2,200 +- per lot...

Put 5 lots on it = RM2,200 x 5 = RM11K.

keep it in yr safe for 3 to 5 years, I can guarantee u, as long as she STILL EXIST in NYSE , 4 her to bounce back to USD 15.00 in next 5 years is only matter of time !

Hence, USD 15 x 3.6= 54K , 54 K x 5 lots = 270K Mama meyaaaaH...11K capital to 270K return ! worth ?

Let talk about yr risk.. if 11K risk is too much 4 u , then put 5K lorrr... 5K to 135 K in 5 years no big deal ? 5K still consider too much 4 u ? then 2 k lorrr..2K to 60K ^V^... can u afford ?

Bear in mind , u must be prepared to lose out yr entire fund that invested in AIG in case of any unforseen outcome , calculate yr risk b4 u jump in !

really once in yr life time...if u dont c her drop below 1.00 in year 2009,,, most likely u will never see it @ < 1.00 again 4 d rest of yr life liaoooo...

I will tell u y XXX can make u rich !? FA ? not really ! ..lots of u guys like to play big small with late uncle lim , yr chances of winning is 50/50..but if u put yr bet on XXX...yr winning chances is > 90% ! make sense ?

Imagine those who bought AIG @ USD60 , 60 x 3.6 = 216K per lot ! wowww... how much they lose ? let hv some consolation here in case our AIG goes holland >> if we die, we r not dieing alone , we hv ppl like temasek fund, HSBC , goldmansachs, morgan stanley n ...with us ^V^...wowww...die with all these big buggers..not worth it meh ? ha ha

Almost forgot to mention this >>

If U hv incurred huge losses previously n still holding until now..y not u swap it 2 AIG ?

Assuming u bot Gpacket @ 4.50 for 10 lots , paper loss 35K... how to recover all these losses ? d solution is..buy in 1 lot of aig .... make sense ?

since u oledi incurred 35K losses..what is another 3K gone ? does it make any difference ? but if AIG still exist in next 5 years, chances 4 u to recover all yr previous losses is highly possible, think about it dudes ^_^

Take note:-

AIG closed @ 1.40 yesterday , if u go in now..yr cost is 1.40 x 3.6= RM5,100 per lot, RM5,100 x 5 lots = RM25,500... 25K to zero if she delisted from NYSE ! can u take this risk ? can u ?

If u cant, then wait 4 her to come down below 1.00 n buy in stages ^V^

CALCULATE YR RISK B4 U JUMP IN !

49 comments:

Unknown said...

I got one lost at 1.28$ like 2 months ago. ^^

Actually quite chuak when the fella went all the way to 0.33$ ^^

Never average down...

Anonymous said...

Ai ya My guess is wrong hor,

So must open an US trading account 1st.

Info: How Malaysian Buy US stock

Eric Kang said...

Hi Sifu Sam,
How bout Fannie Mae..
It has same pattern with AIG, tat it is hovering ~usd60 before this crisis.. lowest also around usd0.3n also Fed jus announced 200 billion to help them.
"The Fed said it would build on a plan to buy mortgage-backed securities guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. It also will buy an additional $750 billion, bringing its total purchases of these securities to $1.25 trillion. It also will boost its purchase of Fannie and Freddie debt to $200 billion".

Samgoss said...

2 eric..yes..y not ? as long as they still EXIST in NYSE 4 next 5 years..anything below 0.50..worth 4 consideration ! if FNM die... 5,000 n below is unavoidable ! US Gov dare to take this risk ? I doubt !

Go 4 it ^V^

Dont touch d 3 problem car manufacturers..i forsee one of them will go delisted....

BZ said...

Dear Sam.

AIG fot severe whacking from US politicians last few days aver the bonus payments to employees and yet the stock jump up so much. I guess it is the shorts covering and it is repoorted that the shorties are finding problem borrowing shares to cover. How long the uptrend will continue is anybody guess. Nevertheless AIG and Cit has been on the uptrend for a week now and I guess it is only natural for corrections to take place soon, probablt tonit.

p/s AIG traded close at Nikkei at 161 yen abt US1.65b today

Samgoss said...

2 BZ..that's y i posted there"dun chase "...wait till she come down below 1.00...buy in stages...

0.90 , 0.70 , 0.50 , 0.30...yr avg cost is ard 0.60.

5 lots cost u about RM10K+..

Cantonese said :- if u lose, u lose a sweet, if u win u win a factory ^_^

cant afford 10K ? then what about 2K ? can afford ?

2k= 1lot... 2k for 54K ! worth it ?

much much better than u play big n small with late uncle lim..bukan ?

BZ said...

...buy in stages...

0.90 , 0.70 , 0.50 , 0.30...yr avg cost is ard 0.60.
???


I doubt if one can get to execute that!!

If AIG comes down to .30 again then the probablity of it declaring bankcrupcy will be great after what the US govt had done by pumping so much billions to them

Samgoss said...

2 BZ..ha ha..

This is what ppl called greed ! 1.40..u said it is due 4 correction anytime soon , 0.90 n below..u said it is quite unlikely..0.30 n below u said she will probably declaring bankcrupcy ..then what u want ? 100% sure win ? where got such big kap na hanging around ?

Make it simple.. calculate yr risk, manage yr risk n u deal with it ^V^

Chances 4 her to go bankcrupt is less than 10% ! hence..u hv 90% edge in hand...can u take d calculated risk ? if u can..go 4 it..if u cant..sorry ....just 4get it ^V^

Samgoss said...

Almost forgot this >>

if U hv incurred huge losses previously n still holding until now..y not u swap it 2 AIG ?

Assuming u bot Gpacket @ 4.50 for 10 lots , paper loss 35K... how to recover all these losses ? d solution is..buy in 1 lot of aig .... make sense ?

since u oledi incurred 35K losses..what is another 3K gone ? does it make any difference ? but if AIG still exist in next 5 years, chances 4 u to recover all yr previous losses is highly possible, think about it dudes ^_^

Ivan said...

Dear Sam,

Kindly put me in your mailing list . Appreciate. Thanks!


goodluckfollowme@gmail.com

Eric Kang said...

Hi sifu sam,
How bout if I lost in gs at usd116, parkson at 6.5, citigroup at 8.5?
will i b able to recoup losses by buying aig? :P

Unknown said...

Sam,

How do v trade in US or Spore stocks??

When trading in overseas stocks,wat's about d forex risks!! Appreciate ur feedbacks. tq.

Unknown said...

To samgoss : i think we got no chance at the current time. Today up another 0.38 cents d. ^^

Should i sell my 1000 shares which i bought at $1.28 and play with the range or wait till $10? ^88^

Unknown said...

hi Sifu sam,

thanks for the Citi..I have earn some pocket money ;p

thank u thank u thank u thank u thank u...

Sifu sam, Ni Hai Tak Geh!!!!!!!!
GONG HEI GONG HEI!!!!
so happy :-)

Samgoss said...

2 samantha...congrats///

Me too..i cabut my citi @ 3.80 just now... profit usd900 x3.6 = RM3,200+ ha ha see ? luckily i didnt follow TA method..otherwise i would hv cut loss long long time ago, how to make $$$ from citi if one using TA method ? ha ha

Is TA works ? my foot !

So far..i hv a clean records in US trades..all delivered !

Observe yrself, all US stock opened gap up..citi , aig n Fnm..all opened at high n coming down all d way, it could be a sign of distribution, beware guys ^V^

2 Jason..u shld follow what i did ^V^

2 Eric...citi @ 8.50 , GS @ 116 n parkson @ 6.50 ?? sound very familiar worr ? ha ha..sound like backhand seng's holding worr !?? ha ha...what a pity seng..i think after reading my blog..he has swap all to aig liaoooo...

2 seng, if u able to cover all yr losses from AIG..dont 4get to belanja me..ok ? ha ha...gd luck seng ^_^ grin ***

blackG said...

I miss the ship of citi and aig as well:(
Which global trading service do you recommend? It there any realtime US share trading for malaysian?
I'm using OSK but need to place order before evening. Is it the same for all securities firm in malaysia?

Dreamer said...

Sifu Sam,

mayb someone know this already but jus for sharing :)

宋鸿兵:警惕美国的人造牛市

http://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/comment/20090320/11506003510.shtml

regards,

yk

elizabeth said...

You got another winner there... yeah, good advice thanks!! Nothing is 100%, but manage our risk.. For such a large insurance group, allowing it to fall is unthinkable.

Samgoss said...

2 hopeful..yes go ahead n swap if u able 2 take that calculated risk ^V^

2 elizaberth..winner or not still too early to say... keep this up n let c whether i am wrong or correct after 5 years ^V^

2 Black G , as far as i know..it is d same 4 sec like hlg , rhb n kenanga ...u need to place order b4 5pm..if u want to trade online 4 us stocks..u need to open an ac in Sg n HK.

2 YK..yes..noted.

as expected..AIG opened gap up last thursday is a bull trap.. she came down all d way from 2.00, well..still d same..i will go in n buy in stages @ anything below 1.00 , once i am in.. forehand call would be published up here.

Hv a nice weekend ^V^

Samgoss said...

From my Hongkong blog friend :-
http://runningviking.blogspot.com

Which stock to go in if USD keep depreciating ?

2009年03月20日 星期五
美元,大暴跌發生
Posted @ 00:18
嚟緊呢個禮拜出發去旅行嘅朋友,如果仲未唱錢,可能成本會大增咯。

點解咁講?咪美元大暴跌囉。

美國聯儲局宣布將購買 3000億美元嘅長期國債,即係話俾人知印鈔機係時候開動。美元即應聲下跌,無論對比歐羅、日圓、加元、或者近期嘅英磅。

美元,尋晚大跌,今晚暴挫!

維京人呢排都有留意開歐羅兌美元呢個組合。上星期收報 1.2929,weekend 嘅時候已經好神勇咁話先睇 1.33。哈哈!三爬兩撥無謂多講,轉眼已達標,而且升勢有餘未盡,寫呢篇 post 嘅時候已經去到 1.37!

暫時睇下個目標係 1.39,但係由於升勢過急,超買嚴重,小心獲利盤突然湧現。但暫時睇歐羅每次下跌都可以買入,除非歐洲央行學埋美國佬 D 衰嘢玩寛鬆嘅貨幣政策。不過政策嘅嘢好難估,唯有小心設下止賺盤。

美元跌,金價油價卻大升。總之金價跌破 900 美元一安士,大家可以放心買入實金。小弟睇如無意外應會再次衝破 1000 大關。

呢兩日維京人掛住理 twitter,同埋公司又多嘢做,都唔係 update 呢個 blog 好密。如果想睇下維京人點睇個市,想 update D 就睇 http://twitter.com/marketviking 啦。

******

咦?係喎,掛住講匯講金,都唔記得講股票㖭。

HSBC (00005) 升勢凌厲,一如小弟預期短線會反彈。個人睇反彈最多最多,都係會去到 60蚊咁上下(其實覺得可能性唔大)。長線仲係對佢有保留,情願買渣打 (02888)。

至於中移動 (00941),今日公布咗業績,其實唔錯。單係上年第四季度,純利就達到 302 億元人仔,按年增長 11%。不過業績雖好,卻符合預期。市場冇驚喜下收市報 $67.1,跌 1.5%。

關鍵嘅中移動都出埋台,後市點睇?

個市升咗咁多日,點都有獲利盤啩。估計會回一回先。跟住會點要睇埋聽日先。

Cheers!

******

周末繼續寫埋荷比盧+巴黎遊

0: 初一開始遇厄運
1: 阿姆斯特丹感覺: 運河、單車、大麻、紅燈區、仲有花。
2: 好荷蘭感覺但有點造作的 Zaanse Schans
3: 不一樣的運河城市 - Utrecht
4: 城鎮雖小,建築美麗 - Haarlem new!

******

維京人近期愛上跑步,有空請幫幫忙為小弟打氣啦!

http://runningviking.blogspot.com

Viking said :- 美元跌,金價油價卻大升。總之金價跌破 900 美元一安士,大家可以放心買入實金。小弟睇如無意外應會再次衝破 1000 大關。


美元跌,金價油價卻大升。

Which stock would be benifited from 油價大升 ?

CPO N ONG stocks !

Will consider to buy back sime if price is right ^V^

steve said...

Hi Sam,
Just curious on AIG or CITIGroup. You mention that you will be collecting anything below $1. But if not mistaken, any share that fell below $1 will be subjected to delisting. I know AIG & Citi went below $1 before and still listed, therefore i'm not sure how the ruling works. Hope to get your opinion. Thank you.

Unknown said...

To samgoss : I wanted to lari my AIG the other day. Parked at 1.80$ Tak sempat dia sudah jatuh macam durian! ^^

Nvm lah... Wait for your next entry on this high risk babe! ^^ No choice but to average down from $1.28...

KT said...

Gpacket subsidiary company P1 won chile wimax license....
http://www.bnamericas.com/news/telecommunications/Chilean-Malaysian_JV_wins_rural_broadband_project

Voren_immerate said...

Sifu Sam,

Appreciate if you can kindly add me in your mailing list. Thanks in advance.

voren_immerate@yahoo.comvoren_immerate@yahoo.com

alfred said...

thanks for the good news sam! im still holding all my SIME...

Samgoss said...

2 steve..gd question... fyi.. FNM n aig has been traded below 1.00 4 more than 2 months liaoo..still nothing happen to them..according what i know was :- US gov has demolished such a clause liaooo... anyway..still i think US gov got no guts to close aig down !

2 Kiko , really ? ha ha..look at gpacket today..down 10cts ... i presumed those TA buggers who bought gpacket @ 1.13 d other day has triggered their cut loss button @ 0.97 liaooo..bukan ? they said cut loss @ 3 beats below 1.00..it is now 0.92...cut loss oledi ? ha ha...is TA works ? my foot ?

How to make money from a huge loss company like gpacket ? u really think its boss will push her up 4 u guys to make $$$$ ?? ha ha... think a little dude ^V^

btw,,,did i cut my loss on citi @0.99 ? ha ha..see ? if i am using TA method on citi, i would hv cut it long long time ago... i got no chance to sell it @ 3.80 liaoooo...ha ha.

ccdev said...

Green Packet, "cut loss" already. And to be absolutely specific, cannot say that TA dont work. Based on my call, it is - "ccdev's TA dont work". In other words, ccdev give c**k TA recommendation. But what do you expect,I aint exactly known for my stock picking prowess. Besides, what can you derive out of a 1 time result? If I made another call and I was 'lucky', does that mean all of a sudden, TA works? Anyway, I had a nice time with this social experiment 'recommendation', without getting too serious. and i don't think anyone was silly enough to follow my call, at least I hope not.

steve said...

Hi Sam,
Not sure did US demolished the ruling but they did stop such ruling on all NASDAQ counter till April. Wht happen next? Not sure. Need to wait & see. & AIG has been taken off from DOW index.

det said...

警惕美国的“人造牛市” (宋鸿兵)

最近几天美国股市连续大涨,华尔街的上空似乎出现了久违的牛市祥云,交易员欢声雷动,投资人额手相庆,市场在窃窃私语危机已见底,华盛顿在高唱经济即将反弹。花旗银行、美国银行纷纷报出一二月的盈利,巴菲特在抄底,伯南克在打气。

  事情果真如此吗?恐怕只有头脑“简单”的人才会相信这样的“G20”政治行情。没有美国政府两次数百亿美元的注资,何来花旗和美国银行的盈利?这样的“盈利”如何让人心里踏实?更何况这些“盈利”中均未将未来潜在损失估计到位,它们假设经济将会迅速繁荣。这样的“盈利”同样不包括美国政府以拯救AIG为名,而实际上将高达千亿美元的巨额纳税人的资金变相打入各大银行的账户所显现出来银行体系“人造健康色”所产生的“收入”。

  美联储刚刚公布将直接动用3000亿美元购买美国长期国债,这是近50年以来的头一回。实情是,各国中央银行纷纷抛售美国长期国债,离岸对冲基金在狂抛两房债券,美联储已成为美国长期债券的最后买主。对于马上面临靠至少两万亿美元国债增发才能挽救银行系统的奥巴马来说,这个时机真是糟透了。

  许多人没有意识到美国的长期债券是美国金融体系的生命线,长债被抛弃导致美联储直接介入的后果将是灾难性的通货膨胀和长期萧条。

  这就是为什么美国要在G20会议之前要搞出一个“人造牛市”来为奥巴马拉抬气势,在一片牛市大吉的迷幻气氛中,希拉里才可能给头晕眼花的各国代表的口袋里塞进一些美国长期国债。即将召开的G20大会,不过是美国搞的一场美国债券的超级路演而已。

  伯南克的话可信度有多少呢?2007年初当次贷问题刚露头时,此公信誓旦旦地保证这仅仅是个小问题。2007年8月次贷危机正式爆发,此公认定这是一场“孤立的”、“短暂的”、“小规模的”危机,结果危机演变成为席卷全球的金融海啸。结果此公仍不认错,断定金融危机不可能影响美国的实体经济,结果我们看到的是二战以来最严重的房屋没收率、失业率、各种违约率、企业破产规模。今天此公又说“美国经济年底走出衰退”,听众还是自己掂量吧。

  最近几日,国内和国际的部分经济学家又在联手配合这一“人造牛市”,大唱“赞歌”,面对这一盛景,真不知道是谁的悲哀?

  联想起最近看到国内某权威杂志一篇《为何经济学家遭质疑》的短文,文章针对目前部分经济学家身上存在的问题进行了入木三分的精彩剖析,我们和广大读者一样深有同感。在当前的危机之中,我们的每一位经济学家都应该在发表各种言论之前摸摸自己的良心,因为我们的身上不仅寄托着广大投资人的血汗,更肩负着历史赋予我们的民族责任。

  这种责任不仅是三五年危机中的责任,更应是我们毕生做人的准则。

alfred said...

my baby shoot up to 5.80 liao^^
fly baby fly!

so sam, do we hold and let this baby fly higher or sell now @Strong?

FIRE@NOW said...

Hi All,

Can anyone guide me what should I do to trade in US stock market?

Samgoss said...

2 alfred..I will sell off my remaining 2 lots of sime @ >6.00..let c how ^_^

BTW, Our resorts also coming liaooo..^V^

2 wanic, if u want 2 trade US stock.. open an ac with either hlg or rhb... as simple as that ^V^

2 CCDEV ( actually, i am not referring 2 u ) .. this is not d first time TA bloggers gone holland... after Gpacket @ 4.50, oskv1 @ 3.50, citi @ 8.50 n.... how many mistakes they need to make somemore inorder 4 them to wake up ?

Pity those who still think that they can c from d movement of share price n volume , if it really can be seen, nobody need to work liaooo... just buy a TA book n 4low d formula..all becomes rich buggers liaooo ..ha ha

问我点解会高兴 究竟点解要 ANTI TA? 我笑住回答 讲一声 我系我 ^V^

Extreme ? yes ! 我笑住回答 讲一声 我系我 ^V^

GK said...

sam, sold my TMI at 2.50, though is lower, but i think should be ok.. catch it when it drop again...

ymk said...

I am interested to buy Citigroup. What is the best price to start accumulating?

Also, please add me into your mailing list.

Email id : myong189@gmail.com

ccdev said...

Sam, no problem m'man. i've been away for awhile, but see that you still the same old feisty bugger! i do have to admit my TA 'buy' call in the earlier posting, that much is true.

Still, to be fair to the TA guys, my 'TA' call shouldn't be used to judge whether it works or not. my TA skills are lousy. it's like me taking karate for 6 months and then telling you i can fight.

anyway, GI aint coming down,creeping slowly up somemore, knn, ccb... but at least TMI got massive rebound today, good for those who are still holding. good luck, gentlemen!

herbert said...

Hi Sam,

I have TMI one lot at cost RM3.02..
Should i take up the right? OR dispose it b4 right (ex date)?

By the way, how much should i pay for rights issue?
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
We refer to our announcement dated 26 February 2009 in relation to the Proposals.
On behalf of TMI’s Board of Directors, CIMB Investment Bank Berhad (“CIMB”) wishes to announce that the issue price of the Rights Shares has been fixed at RM1.12 per Rights Share with an entitlement basis of 5 Rights Shares for every 4 existing TMI Shares held by the shareholders of TMI at a date to be determined and announced later. Accordingly, the Proposed Rights Issue will raise gross proceeds of approximately RM5,254.8 million and involve the issuance of approximately 4,691.8 million Rights Shares.
The issue price of RM1.12 per Rights Share represents a discount of 50.9% to the 5-day volume-weighted average market price up to 23 March 2009 of RM2.28 (“5-day VWAMP”) and 31.7% to the theoretical ex-rights price of TMI Shares of RM1.64 (based on the 5-day VWAMP).
This announcement is dated 24 March 2009.

norrim zainal said...

sam
many times u mention liaooo ..what does it mean

BZ said...

Dear Sam,

Now that TMI has announced the 5:4 rights at RM1.12 ea, I need your opinion as to whether it is wise to take up the rights?

Samgoss said...

2 BZ n herbert..
5-for-4 Rights Issue at RM1.12 per share. hence, tmi's Rights Issue share has been price in @ discount of 37.2% , Theoretical Ex-rights price shld be ard RM1.78 .

TMI's share price has rallied up from RM2.10+-. D share price is due 4 correction anytime soon. 4 those who interested on its right issue, buy when it dip below 2.30. at this moment , u r advice 2 Sell on strength @ current level..

Unknown said...

FNM 0.85
LVS 2.65
AIG 1.48
C 3.13
BAC 7.80

miss the boat liao!

Dreamer said...

Sifu Sam,

FNM is a nice counter as AIG??

Mind to share some comment on that??

thanks ya :)

regards,

yk

Samgoss said...

Ha ha..what a joke ! Bapak 10% asking d coming leader not to select those corrupted politician in his up coming team..ha ha it is like "ketam cuba mengajar anaknya berjalan betul," ha ha...do u know how 2 write d word :SHAME"??

2 YK,,if u interested on FNM..buy ard 0.50+- 4 long term hold.

Unknown said...

Sifu, what you think of your former darling liondiv? ^^

GK said...

sam,any advise to take up the TMI rights? do u recommend?

Unknown said...

TMI, i bot 4 lots at 3.06. Sifu Sam, if u were me, what will u do next? Buy the right-issue or sell the mother now? pls advise

GOJI said...

Dear Sam :

Bought 4 lots TMI at 3.10 and just missed the boat to sell TMI at 2.60 last week. What is your advice ? Proceed to subscribe the Rights Issue or sell at current price at 2.30? Hope to get a wise solution form u.
Thank you.

alfred said...

omg... tmi drop till 2.28.
care to share a bit what happen to her?

Samgoss said...

2 all , i told u guys oledi..sell @ current level of 2.61 b4 she goes suspension.Well... if u still holding it..i think u got no choice but 2 pick up d right issue liaoo..

If she ever crawl back 2 >2.50 again..sell first n buy back @ lower price.

It is not wise to sell it below 2.30 .

u decide ^V^

Unknown said...

any comment on KLSE up for 2 days. To support our new PM ? Then fall again ?