^V^
Genting International shot up > 20% within a week after I called 4 buy @0.40 in YM chat with CYT, this got nothing to shout about cos I didnt publish it in my blog, hence u can consider this one as my back hand call ! d below is d chat between me n cyt talking about buy on genting international b4 she shot up :-
GOS (12/11/2008 3:20:07 PM): after we sold ytlpowerwb..
GOS (12/11/2008 3:20:10 PM): keep d cash
GOS (12/11/2008 3:20:21 PM): there r lots of water liu liu stocks there to buy
cyt (12/11/2008 3:20:27 PM): ya ya
GOS (12/11/2008 3:20:30 PM): must be bluechips
cyt (12/11/2008 3:23:56 PM): if i can sell > 70, i have 42k+ cash
GOS (12/11/2008 3:26:43 PM):
cyt (12/11/2008 3:27:02 PM): pray pray..
GOS (12/11/2008 3:27:13 PM): tmi @ 3.00+ water liu liu
GOS (12/11/2008 3:27:21 PM): too bad she bounced back liaoo
cyt (12/11/2008 3:27:22 PM): I FOLLOW U!
GOS (12/11/2008 3:27:55 PM): this year u dont follow never mind..but next year u must follow me 100% !
cyt (12/11/2008 3:28:29 PM): hahah..
GOS (12/11/2008 3:29:07 PM): genting international @0.30 to 0.40+- is a gem !
GOS (12/11/2008 3:29:17 PM): singapore stock
GOS (12/11/2008 3:29:32 PM): >100% return in 3 years sup sup sui
cyt (12/11/2008 3:29:32 PM): year high how much?
GOS (12/11/2008 3:29:37 PM): 1.10 high in 2007
GOS (12/11/2008 3:29:40 PM): ipo 0.25
GOS (12/11/2008 3:29:50 PM): check yrself how much she worth now?
GOS (12/11/2008 3:32:45 PM): d internet charges here expensive
GOS (12/11/2008 3:32:53 PM): damn rm10.00 per hour
cyt (12/11/2008 3:34:24 PM): can't find genting
cyt (12/11/2008 3:34:31 PM): issit this one http://sg.finance.yahoo.com/q?s=G13.SI&d=t?
GOS (12/11/2008 3:35:01 PM): yes
GOS (12/11/2008 3:35:10 PM): this one damn gem
cyt (12/11/2008 3:35:17 PM): 0.415 wor..
cyt (12/11/2008 3:35:20 PM): u said 30 cents?
GOS (12/11/2008 3:35:32 PM): but make sure u keep it to yrself esp dont tell TA buggers...ok ?
cyt (12/11/2008 3:35:40 PM):
GOS (12/11/2008 3:35:50 PM): it was once thirty something
GOS (12/11/2008 3:35:54 PM): bounced back abit
GOS (12/11/2008 3:37:49 PM): u got confidence on this ?
GOS (12/11/2008 3:37:55 PM): 100% sure win if u can buy <0.40 or even @ 0.41
cyt (12/11/2008 3:37:56 PM): genting?
GOS (12/11/2008 3:37:59 PM): yes
GOS (12/11/2008 3:38:03 PM): genting int
cyt (12/11/2008 3:38:17 PM): need to take a look only know
GOS (12/11/2008 3:38:22 PM): ha ha
GOS (12/11/2008 3:38:27 PM): if u take a look...
GOS (12/11/2008 3:38:35 PM): u wont be buying based on FA
GOS (12/11/2008 3:38:39 PM): cos no PE
GOS (12/11/2008 3:38:44 PM): still running at loss
cyt (12/11/2008 3:38:50 PM): ohh..
GOS (12/11/2008 3:38:53 PM): ha ha
cyt (12/11/2008 3:38:57 PM): hehe..
GOS (12/11/2008 3:39:00 PM): casino in sentosa
GOS (12/11/2008 3:39:05 PM): building up
GOS (12/11/2008 3:39:16 PM): where got income ?
GOS (12/11/2008 3:40:24 PM): its timing just nice
GOS (12/11/2008 3:40:35 PM): building up during recession
cyt (12/11/2008 3:40:48 PM): can complete or not?
GOS (12/11/2008 3:40:53 PM): once completed..economy should be recover by then
GOS (12/11/2008 3:41:00 PM): of course can
GOS (12/11/2008 3:41:06 PM): resorts is cash kow
GOS (12/11/2008 3:41:11 PM):
cyt (12/11/2008 3:42:08 PM): then i should open account d
GOS (12/11/2008 3:42:35 PM): u should
GOS (12/11/2008 3:42:41 PM): stand by first
GOS (12/11/2008 3:43:54 PM): trust me...gen int is definitely a gem if u can get it ard 0.40+-, 4 safe bet, buy in stages from 0.40+ to 0.30+
GOS (12/11/2008 3:44:04 PM): it is like ijmwb @0.38
GOS (12/11/2008 3:44:30 PM): 0.35 x 2.1 = 0.73 ringgit
cyt (12/11/2008 3:44:40 PM): okie, not trading play, right? holding one, right?
GOS (12/11/2008 3:44:46 PM): yes
GOS (12/11/2008 3:44:49 PM): lai liaoo
cyt (12/11/2008 3:45:11 PM): i dare not open the window, yesterday my CEO seems saw me see market
GOS (12/11/2008 3:45:20 PM):
cyt (12/11/2008 3:45:25 PM): he stand near me for a while, when i was monitoring ytlpowerwb
GOS (12/11/2008 3:45:35 PM): at this moment of time..it is good excuse to fire u
cyt (12/11/2008 3:45:43 PM):
GOS (12/11/2008 3:45:44 PM):
GOS (12/11/2008 3:45:56 PM): 0.65 gone
cyt (12/11/2008 3:46:00 PM):
GOS (12/11/2008 3:46:02 PM): 0.655 coming
GOS (12/11/2008 3:46:22 PM): mom 1.92 seller 1.93
cyt (12/11/2008 3:46:32 PM): u so confident it'll drop back and we can buy back?
GOS (12/11/2008 3:47:02 PM): i am not sure but i dun think its mom can goes >2.10
cyt (12/11/2008 3:48:26 PM): nvm sell first only see, long time no sell with profit d, wash my bad luck away also good
cyt (12/11/2008 3:48:27 PM):
GOS (12/11/2008 3:48:43 PM): u born in which year ah ?
cyt (12/11/2008 3:48:48 PM): 1976
cyt (12/11/2008 3:48:50 PM): dragon
cyt (12/11/2008 3:48:58 PM): next year not good year for me, i know
cyt (12/11/2008 3:49:02 PM): i read some books d
cyt (12/11/2008 3:49:03 PM):
cyt (12/11/2008 3:49:11 PM): especialy financially
GOS (12/11/2008 3:50:18 PM): next year is dog ah ?
cyt (12/11/2008 3:50:28 PM): bull
GOS (12/11/2008 3:50:43 PM): ok wat
GOS (12/11/2008 3:50:52 PM): next year is not bad 4 dragon
cyt (12/11/2008 3:51:22 PM): i read some 2009 book in Borders
cyt (12/11/2008 3:51:26 PM): say not so good
GOS (12/11/2008 3:51:31 PM): trust me
GOS (12/11/2008 3:53:09 PM): yr best year is rat n monkey
cyt (12/11/2008 3:53:22 PM): rat already no good
GOS (12/11/2008 3:53:54 PM): dos is yr bad year
GOS (12/11/2008 3:53:56 PM): dog
cyt (12/11/2008 3:54:52 PM): bali nice?
cyt (12/11/2008 3:55:01 PM): u stay where? expensive place?
GOS (12/11/2008 3:56:19 PM): i am surfing via internet n watching leng lui passing by
GOS (12/11/2008 3:56:26 PM):
cyt (12/11/2008 3:56:45 PM): go surfing lah
GOS (12/11/2008 3:56:49 PM): lai liaooo...mom 1.93
cyt (12/11/2008 3:56:54 PM): surf real one lah
cyt (12/11/2008 3:56:59 PM):
GOS (12/11/2008 3:57:16 PM): no sea sufing at my beach
GOS (12/11/2008 3:57:28 PM): further more i dun know how to surf oso
cyt (12/11/2008 3:57:46 PM): eh, u better be careful using public PC to access ur rhb account
cyt (12/11/2008 3:57:50 PM): very dangerous one
GOS (12/11/2008 3:58:22 PM): lei tung ngo ding
cyt (12/11/2008 3:58:49 PM): later ur ytlpowerwb sudenly all missing
GOS (12/11/2008 3:58:58 PM): is ok
GOS (12/11/2008 3:59:11 PM): all missing means..profit liao'
GOS (12/11/2008 3:59:26 PM): lai liaoo 0.655
cyt (12/11/2008 3:59:27 PM): missing means share missing, money also missing
))))))
Those who interested on Genting International , anything around 0.40+- to 0.30+- is a gem 4 long term play. dont chase at current price of 0.485 ^V^
17 comments:
bro sam,
this gent.intl. my sgp fren and i still waiting leh
wise man think alike hahaha
wow you shout so loud in the blog
ok ok we all go international now
g'luck 2u and samgang hehehe
hi tcg, good catch..but do not buy at current level of 0.485 !
hi guys...
Uncle sam always stressed FA! FA! this one got no FA one wor ? no PE one wor ? still running at loss wor..then how ? ha ha...
FYI, common sense will tell..if u open up a new company, it is expected to be running at loss 4 first 2 years... look beyond that !
Besides that..Genting Int is a hard rock solid FA stock in long term ! its liecense itself worth more than 0.50 ! no need to chase at current level.. buy bit by bit n in stages , keep it under yr pillow 4 yr childs, let see uncle sam talk nonsense or not ha ..ha
sifu, wana ask u abt my luck in next year!
I was born in 1982, year of dog..hows it going in next year,2009 year of Ox!Thanks..
Hi SAM,
First of all thanks for your xxx = ytlpowr-wb.
Since no PE for Genting Int, appreciate your guide on why target is set at <0.40?
(0.4/0.5 = 20% off).
Happy holiday
Vince
Hi Sam,
Can you advice which brokerage has the best deal in getting Singapore shares?
Sifu Sam,
Since you have recommended Genting Intl.....How about our local Genting at RM 3.74. Genting also holds substantial share in Genting Intl. From RM 4.50 tumbled to RM 3.74... do you think this price reflects all the bad news regarding the Genting including British casino loss provision, singapore casino high cost, and Asiatic low earning?
2 those who interested on genting international.. well..if u hv ac with rhb sec, they only charge u 0.6% per transaction unlike d 0.35% 4 local stock trading.
y choosed Genting int instead of genting ? simple..cos i like small knife cut big tree ! @ 0.40+- ..d downside limit is very minimum..worst come to worst is only 0.30+- ! as for genting .. dont 4get it has been split .. if u times back.. it is now more than 10.00 lah...
Just like resorts , if u times 2.20 with 5 = RM11.00 ! 2 those aunties n uncles ( they dont know what is PE , they count by dollar n cents not by value ), 2.00+ for them is not expensive ..but if u ask them to buy stock >10.00.. they will tell u it is damn expensive.
that's y i said..genting int @ 0.40 is quite a safe bet .. cos its down side limit is very minimum !
2 soon huat..born in which year is still not enuf 2 know yr luck in 2009, yr 8 zhi is a need also .
I am sure not all who born in year of dragon r bad ..there r definitely some r doing quite well one ! just like those who living in mont kiara ppl..not all of them r rich man.. some r broke also ^V^ if u wanna to know more in detail..pls consult a good feng shui master.
Guys..recent rally is only a window dressing..i will definitely take profit b4 end of this year..i am now waiting for its mom to move !
stay tune 4 d latest update ^V^
What a pity newbie, kena kick out by tai chek kong seng ah ? TOLD U OLEDI NEWBIE ! seng like ppl to bodek him , if u dont bodek..this is what u get from him ! ha ha..
AFter bullbear , dylan, mydreamgetrich, stockgod n newbie, who will be d next ? dont worry kaki bodek..u will not be d next as long as u keeps bodek seng ! ha ha
18 Dec 08, 18:31
Seng: - new article. Newbie, as you are reading this, I regret to inform you that after thinking about what you did today, and what you did since I've known you last year, I've decided that what you did is just not acceptable in my books. I don't think it's enough to just ban StockGod and not you. I am dissappointed with your behaviour, so, let's part ways here ...I'm sure you will be welcomed in the chatbox of others, but maybe this chatbox is just not the right fit with you. Take care and best wishes newbie.
wa, ah seng fat lan char ah...
jangan la macam ni... newbie earn more in stock market u already red eye... ok la ok la.. seng.. u r greatest... u earn a lot in share... er mind to tell which share u earn ah? (cant recap which stock ler since gs, china dolls, citi also not making %)
haha.. look at starter the kaki bodek aka seng's disciple..
starter: Newbie,newbie, what else can I say but...YOU ASK FOR IT. Its pretty obvious you and SG are the same person. I've known it for quite some time now but just kept quiet because I don't like to create problems here.
starter, not bad ler.. u starting to learn ur sifu.. pandai backhand smash.. haha...
危机爆发原因扫描
要明白次贷、信贷紧缩与金融海啸非常令人“头大”，《大纪元》转载至互联网论坛“5分钟让你明白金融危机爆发原因”，或者能让你更易理出头绪来：
一、槓桿
目前，许多投资银行为了赚取暴利，採用20至30倍槓桿操作，假设一个银行A自身资產为30亿，30倍槓桿就是900亿。
也就是说，这家银行A以30亿资產为抵押去借900亿的资金用於投资，假如投资盈利5%，那么A就获得45亿的盈利，相对於A自身资產而言，这是150%的暴利。
反过来，假如投资亏损5%，那么银行A赔光了自己的全部资產，还欠15亿。
二、CDS合约
由於槓桿操作高风险，所以按照正常的规定，银行不宜进行这样的冒险操作。所以就有人想出一个办法，把槓桿投资拿去做“保险”。这种保险就叫信用违约交换（Credit Default Swap，简称CDS）。
比如，银行A为了逃避槓桿风险就找到了机构B。机构B可能是另一家银行，也可能是保险公司，诸如此类。A对B说，你帮我的贷款做违约保险怎么样，我每年付你保险费5000万，连续10年，总共5亿，假如我的投资没有违约，那么这笔保险费你就白拿了，假如违约，你要为我赔偿。A想，如果不违约，我可以赚45 亿，这里面拿出5亿用来做保险，我还能净赚40亿。如果有违约，反正有保险来赔。所以对A而言这是一笔只赚不赔的生意。
B是一个精明的人，没有立即答应A的邀请，而是回去做了一个统计分析，发现违约的情况不到 1%。如果做100家的生意，总计可以拿到500亿的保险金，如果其中一家违约，赔偿额最多不过50亿，即使两家违约，还能赚400亿。A、B双方都认为这笔买卖对自己有利，因此立即拍板成交，皆大欢喜。
三、CDS市场
B做了这笔保险生意之后，C在旁边眼红了。C就跑到B那边说，你把这100个CDS卖给我怎么样，每个合同给你2亿，总共200亿。B想，我的400亿要10年才能拿到，现在一转手就有200亿，而且没有风险，何乐而不为，因此B和C马上就成交了。
这样一来，CDS就像股票一样流到了金融市场之上，可以交易和买卖。实际上C拿到这批CDS之后，並不想等上10年再收取200亿，而是把它掛牌出售，標价 220亿；D看到这个產品，算了一下，400亿减去220亿，还有180亿可赚，这是“原始股”，不算贵，立即买了下来。一转手，C赚了20亿。从此以后，这些CDS就在市场上反覆的炒，现在CDS的市场总值已经炒到62兆美元。
四、次贷
上面A、B、C、D、E、F....都在赚大钱，那么这些钱到底从那里冒出来的呢？根本上说，这些钱来自A以及同A相彷的投资人的盈利。而他们的盈利大半来自美国的次级贷款。
次贷主要是给了普通的美国房產投资人，这些人的经济实力本来只够买自己的一套住房，但是看到房价快速上涨，动起房產投机的主意。他们把自己的房子抵押出去，贷款买投资房。这类贷款利息要在8至9%以上，凭他们自己的收入很难应付，不过他们可以继续把房子抵押给银行，借钱付利息，空手套白狼。
此时A很高兴，他的投资在为他赚钱；B也很高兴，市场违约率很低，保险生意可以继续做；后面的C、D、E、F等等都跟著赚钱。
五、次贷危机
房价涨到一定的程度就涨不上去了，后面没人接盘。此时房產投机人急得像热锅上的蚂蚁。房子卖不出去，高额利息要不停的付，终於到了走头无路的一天，把房子甩给了银行。此时违约就发生了。A开始感到一丝遗憾，大钱赚不了，不过也亏不到那里，反正有B 做保险。B也不担心，反正保险已经卖给了C。
那么现在这份CDS保险在那里呢，在G手里。G刚从F手里花了300亿买下了100个CDS，还没来得及转手，突然接到消息，这批CDS被降级，其中有20 个违约，大大超出原先估计的1%到2%的违约率。每个违约要支付50亿的保险金，总共支出达 1000亿。加上300亿CDS收购费，G的亏损总计达1300亿。虽然G是全美排行前10名的大机构，也经不起如此巨大的亏损。因此G濒临倒闭。
六、金融危机
如果G倒闭，那么A花费5亿买的保险就泡了汤，更糟糕的是，由於A採用槓桿原理投资，根据前面的分析，A赔光全部资產也不够还债。因此A立即面临破產的危险。除了A之外，还有A2，A3、...A20，统统要准备倒闭。
因此G、A、A2、...A20一起来到美国財政部长面前，一把鼻涕一把眼泪地游说，G万万不能倒闭，它一倒闭大家都完了。財政部长心一软，就把G给国有化了，此后A、...A20的保险金总计1000亿美元全部由美国纳税人支付。
七、美元危机
上面讲到的100个CDS的市场价是300亿，而CDS市场总值是62兆。假设其中有10%的违约，就有6兆的违约CDS。这个数字是300亿的200倍。如果说美国收购价值300亿的CDS之后要赔出1000亿。那么对於剩下的那些违约CDS，美国就要赔出20兆。
如果不赔，就要看著A20、A21、A22等等一个接一个倒闭。无论採取甚么措施，美元大贬值已经不可避免。
Sifu Sam,
LionDiv-LB (ICULS) listing today (19/12/2008), 4%, 5 years nominal value, rm1.00, conversion 50 sen nominal value to 50 sen share.
Any comment on this??
regards
yk
Dear Uncle Sam,
Can you comment on PELIKAN (Blue chips).. It's financial performance not bad... PE ratio also in single digit.. Do you think recession will affect his performance very significantly since stationary still remain useful during bad time.. Is that any chain effect?
Thanks for your comment in advance..
SOLD 10.6 LOTS OF YTLPOWERWB @ 0.645 , balance 68 lots.
Pelikan ? Sorry i am not familiar with this counter but base on its track earning records , its eps ... it is very safe bet @ current level of 1.03+ , it has came down from as high as 3.50... PE around 2 only..not bad not bad ^V^
Hi SAM, any comment on RESORT?? i have some on hand with avrg price rm2.35, is it ok for long terms hold?
sam,
is it wise to get some xxxx at current price with the current rally trend for some short term earning?
Mr Sam,
U are really very smart trader and investor. I been following yr blog almost 1year now, very impressed. Pls consider to add me, my email : noncapisco@gmail.com ... thank you so much.
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