Monday, December 3, 2007

^V^ Portfolio as at 30 Nov 07 ^V^






^V^
I hv taken RM 18,600.00 profit in d month of NOV (Thanks to RCECAP,Mahsing n Masteel ),unrealised profit is now stood at RM14,620.00 ^V^ My cash vs shares status is currently stood at 0.47 : 0.53,which is in healthy position, I feel extremely comfortable with overall returns of 312% or profit of RM562,062.50 !

I hv taken profit on RCEcap at 0.93+ with profit of RM6,050.00 during d subprime crash & bought all back at around 0.91+ in d month of NOV.

I hv taken profit on Masteel ,DPS n Engtex for swap to 70 lots of Liondiv at avg cost of 1.789+, as i said, i forsee Liondiv will come up faster than engtex n masteel once mkt recover n it is proven right, she did performed well n rose in line with its latest earning of 5.75cts ! (5.75 x 4 = 23cts, buying at 1.70 giving u PE 0f 7+ ..1.70/0.23 =PE.

Liondiv is a cash rich company with 1.9 billion cash in hand ! which giving u :-1.9 billion/ 737,223,000 = 2.57 per share

NTA = 3.56

Never forget she also owned RM500 mil redeemable convertable loan stock of Parkson from d split exercise. if we convert to 125 mil parkson shares at Mkt price of RM9.00), equivalent to RM1.51 per shares !!!

Where to find such a cash rich company which giving u 13%+- return per annum (PE 8 )??

Someone said he want to wait for little while n look for its bottom ! ha ha FYI, no one can catch at bottom ! NO ONE ! as long as d stock is trading at dirt cheap value, jump in n buy ! see ? can u buy liondiv at <1.80 anymore ? dont try to be smart with yr TA method, yr TA never tell u to buy Liondiv at 1.70 meh ? why ? not functioning at all ?

FYI, This is my second entry of d year for Liondiv ! i have made profited one round from it last month which giving me profit about RM24,150+.. (this statement is direct to Mr SOUR, since he like sour so much.. it is dedicated to u @ no cost at all ! like it ? ^V^

***

Pay a visit to this >> http://contrarianedge.com/book/excerpt

Read carefully what he said esp this part :-

SR: But the higher earnings growth rate of growth stocks overcompensated for P/E compression, right?

VK: Not at all! Low-P/E stocks outperformed high-P/E stocks on a consistent basis throughout the 1966–1982 range-bound market.

***

He did not mention about "future earning " !

For a Low PE stock to roar , it is very much depend on its future earning, if its future earning stay flat n sustainable, u will hv mild return but definitely better than FD.

If its future earning grow in line with what u forecasted , u will hv fantastic return..that's for sure !

If what u forecasted gone holland ( earning turns into losses),
Low PE will also DIE ! (Example Megan !) but HIGH PE will die HARDER coz u bought at d peak !

Since both also die if its forecasted earning turn into negative , why should we pick high PE stock ?? think a little ..think ? u think u r playing US stocks ? u think u r buying coca cola or wallmart ? even wallmart selling at PE >50, is still not consider as value buy !

One classical example :- Gpacket

Those who bought at 4.50 based on rumours n speculation.

u r actually buying at PE of 44 (Damn bloody high )! as it can be seen, once his speculation call off n its latest earning came down, she drop like nobody biz to current level of 2.40 ! see how bad it was for buying high PE stock ?

Even u buy at 2.40, u r buying at PE 17 ! still not consider as low if u compare to masteel,liondiv n mahsing which giving u PE of 4+, 8+ n 9 + !

Is P N E not d key success ? need a second thought ?

55 comments:

Anonymous said...

Hi Sam,
Just to highlight to you that the 3rd qtr announcement on LionD is results before the split.

You need to deduct the Parkson BS,P&L portion to get the current LionD after split.
Regards!

Samgoss said...

Hello KC or Audrey choe !? ha ha whoever u r ..i am referring to its 1st qtr earning not 3 qtrs earning ^V^

That was after d split ^V^

pls send my regards to ah boot..ok ?

Anonymous said...

Superb return sam $-$, I have regretted for not following your picks, how nice if I put all my money into liondiv instead of gpacket . still licking my wound over here , really dont know should I swop my gpacket into liondiv or not ?

What is yr advice ? Sam & KC ?

Anonymous said...

Hi Sam,
Sorry! I actually refer to the 1st qtr results as at 30/9/07. The B/S & P&L is included Parkson.

The split is completed only on 17/10/07.
Regards!

Anonymous said...

PARKSON NTA only 0.67 but share price 9.30. LIONDIV NTA 3.50 but share price only 1.95. Why? Please comment sifu.

Anonymous said...

Sam, thanks for your liondiv<-> you are great .

Anonymous said...

Sam, from me & my family -----------------> you are ichiban !

Fuyohhhhhhhh

Anonymous said...

hi Sam,

I have been following your blog for a month. you are really good. why your cash and share ratio must be around 0.5:0.5? why don't you keep some of your cash for expenses and the rest go for investment?
regards

Anonymous said...

hi sam,

why your cash and share ratio must be 0.5:0.5 ? why don't you keep for example 10% of your cash and the rest use for investment?
I always do 100% investment.

regards

Anonymous said...

Sam, you are getting more popular now,they are not keen to put you in at the begining stage, finally they have to accept the facts that you are one of the best due to your excellent call before hand picks . Read what they commentted about you :

http://finance.groups.yahoo.com/group/Investssmart/message/1668

Anonymous said...

Lanci sam, you are damn lanci ( errogant) ,in fact u are super lanci ! bloody hell , I have to admit you are really good !

Anyway, I am who I am ! I am loyal supporter of TA . he he jangan marah ok ?

Anonymous said...

what is your expected price for liondiv?

Benjamin said...

Who the hell is this TA supporter here scolding all the bad words? Really no manner at all.
Is this what TA teaching you also? @@#$%^#$%^ this is what FA thought me. ^_^

Sam great call liondiv. I missed your first call, but luckily managed to catch the second one.

Benjamin said...

Sam, by the way, do you think it's right time to enter Kianjoo now because I got insider info that it will be taken over at RM1.80-RM2.00 soon.

Samgoss said...

Ben, leave TA supporter alone, cant u see he has endorsed our FA method by saying.. we are really good ? if there is no loser in share mkt..who contribute for our gain ? am i not correct ? ha ha

Dear anony.. NTA ? well... it depends on what industry she came from.. example.. digi NTA is only 2.44 as compared to its share price of 25.50, n also Genting n resorts !

Of course d highest d better ^V^

@ mr see.. why 50:50 ? cos no one know what will happen 2molo, further more we r in bull mkt which is no longer cheap as compared to KLCI 850 !

I will put 80 to 90 % of my fund in to share mkt only in bear mkt at anything below KLCI 850 ! this is what i called risk management ! though i am very sure Mahsing n liondiv r dirt cheap at 1.70 +- but still i dare not to sai lang all my fund on both of them !

besides risk management, u need to hv self control also ! greed will kill u at one shot !

what is my TP price for Liondiv ? conservatively Liondiv worth around 3.00 but as usual..I am abit kiasi.. i will sell on strength from 2.25 onwards if Mahsing still hang around 1.80+ for me to swap !

Samgoss said...

Ben..Kian Joo at 1.50+ PE around 15+-, no longer cheap n also not expensive too.. she used to be one of d 2nf liner blue chip. d volume is there.. good for trading play but not for buy n hold !

> 70 % of my holding came from Liondiv ,Mahsing n Rcecap !

I am damn sure they will bring me at least 70K to 80K by coming CNY, if timing is on my side, i can make more than that by using swap ! hopefully i can sell liondiv at >2.25 for swap to mahsing at 1.80+ or rcecap at 0.85+

herbert said...

hi sam,

mems financial account encounter irregurities issue. however, BOD have been appoint new auditor to carry out spaecial audit. Objective to ensure that revenue and property and plant equipment (PPE) are appropriately taking into account which compliance with Accounting Standard. This will consequently result in the unaudited profit after
tax for the financial year ended 31 July 2007 to be reduced from RM21.47
million as announced on 27 September 2007, to RM13.45 million.

Therefore, this co. still making attractive profit. What do you think? Shall we accumulate it at low target price, said between 0.19 to 2.05??

Anonymous said...

I think Sam u did aware pmetal Profit after tax is more than Revenue,it's because of "Negative goodwill" which Pmetal bought over a company which is going to list on HK, if I'm not mistaken. Hopefully it'll lead Pmetal reach RM3.00...

Anonymous said...

I really dont know how to express my impression to you.........?

Benjamin said...

Goldman Sach bought in another 3.9mil shares of Bjcorp. ^_^

Benjamin said...

Sorry should be purchase of 131mil shares and conversion of 27.5mil shares by Goldman Sach. Total shareholding in Bjcorp 159mil shares.

Dreamer said...

dear sam,

i heard from someone saying there will be some "movement" on the Mutiara Bhd, based on ur FA worth to invest it. There is also huge transaction going on these two days...

regards

Benjamin said...

Sam, need your valuable advise on Tongher (Latest EPS for 2007 should be around 55cents) giving PE at 5-6 times at current closing price of RM3.30. Do you think the business model worth investing?

Anonymous said...

Hi Sam,

In your earlier posting a few days ago you have stated that for those who is holding DPS should pick up the right issue. May I know why do you think so. Thanks.

Regards.

Anonymous said...

hi Sam,

thanks for the reply. I would like to learn the technique of fishing rather then taking the fish from you. I wish I could give advice rather then just taking tips from you. thank you for your kindness of sharing.

I try to look at your older post and move on to current post but whenever I hit the "back button" at the left top button bar, the browser will bring me to home page rather then the history page.

how do you know which counter is the fund manager favorite? how to analyze the market trend? where do you collect all the information or news from (other then the financial report)? are you only gathering the info from the edge online, star business online? the link that you put on the right side of your blog?
any recommendation on which material to read?

regards

Anonymous said...

Ben, i noticed that also.. Bjcorp is snow trading at PE <10.. with VT style of goreng, goldman sach factor n some FA of Bjcorp, i wont feel suprise if she goes >1.50 by coming cny, I am still focusing on my 3 big boys, liondic, mahsing n rcecap.

Mutiara again ? fyi, its latest earning is not doing very well giving u only 0.95 cts, n also lotf of holding hse disposing lately inclusive of EPF, definitely not a value buy ! if u like mutiara, y not u go 4 mahsing, much better than mutiara in term of FA !

As for tongher, 3.02+ is a safe bet, seeing its latest earning coming down about 30% but still I dont think Tongher can go below 2.90 ! tongher used to be fund manager 's like n from its past earning records shown it is VB at around 3.00 !

DPS's right issue, pick up ? pls refer to my previous posting ^V^

Anonymous said...

market up today because investors support HINDRAF. think logically if HINDRAF was bad, market would have drop. but market go up, that means market say HINDRAF is good!

myke8888 said...

Hi Sam....
What do you think of TA ?
Price has come down substancially and standing at PE 7+.
Good earnings as well in the past few quarters.
Are the ingredient ripe for cooking ? Pls comment. Thanks

Anonymous said...

$ifu $am, "syok" 2 c how u "swan siau" Mr Sour. I think next time u should add some black pepper into d sour soup...hui sedap baginya!
If d performance of KLSE 2day is d signal of starting of d Year End Rally, hopefully Liondiv would go up 2 > 2.50 by then.
Excellent call, $ifu $am.

Anonymous said...

investors will push up market today again to show support for HINDRAF.

Anonymous said...

Hi sam, how about kinstel(5060)
PE 0.42, EPS 16.06

pleae advise , thanX

Anonymous said...

Sifu, Mahsing rose 6 cts today, I am still holding mahsing at 1.69 till todate, may i know what is yr TP for Mahsing ?

TQVM!

Benjamin said...

二○○八戊子年肖马运程:
由于你冲犯太岁,除了易有血光事件,必须谨慎行动之外,也要防各方面的冲动现象,令你疲于应付,耗尽心神。公司里风风雨雨,是非多多。你在工作上容易犯错,严重者将会惹上官非,注定要破大财。恋爱运恐怕难见顺利。今年的健康甚为不稳,特别容易患上伤风、感冒等流行病。

OMG! Sam, we are in the same boat, really have to dispose all before CNY.

Anonymous said...

keep an eye on oilcorp... it is coming back very.. very slowly....

Anonymous said...

december market is most likely depends on whether the US fed will further cut down their rate, and i guess this week market would perform quite well due to the high expectation and good news from US government...and sam, do u think US fed would further cut down the rate although the productivity gains in US?

Samgoss said...

Ben..aiyahhh..I born in year of horse ? really ? 30 years old? ha ha u guess lah..

Tailow.. not ma hoa poa, as i said, if there is no wrong doing in oilcorp 's account, u will definitely see her bounce back to >1.30 again !

Fed cut ? I wanna to bet with bern again, bern, u dare to leave int rate flat in d coming FOC meeting ? aiyooo yooo, DOW is now 13,400 + alreadyyyyy.. if u got guts to do so ! whole world mkt will follow u "u jump I jump ! excuse me not jump up lah is jump down from KLCC !..that's for sure !


TP for mahsing ? take profit now ? sorry... for me still not yet ! Sinka broking hse giving mahsing TP of 3.00 some even rated its TP at 3.50,i am abit conservative , mine is only 2.30 to 2.50only ! 70cts to 1 dollars gain tak cukup ka ? for me enough alreadyyyy !

As usual, I will post every single trade here for u guys to follow, if u abit nervous n u feel comfortable with current profit, sell half lah ^V^

Samgoss said...

Those who holding Mahsing, liondiv n Rcecap, I am extremely bullish on them, I am confident there r more upside potential for them to rise from now till CNY, 35 K unrealised profit already contributed by Mah sing n Liondiv but still i prefer to hold it for little while, follow or not!? u decide ^V^

I think there might be some correction towards d xmas holiday, I may consider to take some profit towards d FOC meeting or 15 of Dec if they come near to my TP ^V^

myke8888 said...

Ben...
Will appreciate it if you can Mind translate in English. Curious to know lah cause I am was also born in the year of the horse.
Cheers...

Benjamin said...

Another 22.5mil bjcorp shares being bought by GS in open market. $$$ coming. TP 1.5 ^_^

Anonymous said...

info from a KL friend : oilcorp will bounce back regardless any wrong doing or not, cos there is surport from a UMNO powerful MINISTER... i am not so sure but he is definitely collecting...
don't trust me...

sold mahsing 50% & liondiv 50% & suria, cos holiday is around d corner...a bit kiasi, sam, this mth balance sheet is really fantastic, TQVM... ^0^

Anonymous said...

Dear Sam,
What do you think of ANNJOO?Is it a good buy now since it had fallen quite a fair bit from it's peak.Peak 4.46 after bonus issue 2:3 = 2.97 now 2.43.cheers

Anonymous said...

ben, never know u r "house" also,
i am a nite house, never need 2 work too hard, but still can survive... a lot of "hen" money...

Anonymous said...

Sam, is masteel still worth to hold? It seem like you dun mention it anymore after u swap to liondiv.

Anonymous said...

hi sam...
i have been an FA supporter, but on RCECAP, i can't really see the reason for u to be so convince that it can go up much more..please explain..
n wat do u think of mui property proposal to cancel 0.30 from par value to reduce from 0.50 to 0.20?is it worth buying?..thanks

regards

Samgoss said...

of course Mateel is worth for holding, cant u see I am still holding on masteel in my portfolio ? swap from masteel at 1.51 to Liondiv @1.72 is proven correct !..I think u need to follow my blogging closely cos I hv told u guys why I sell my masteel to liondiv in my previous posting !

I will come back to masteel if i managed to sell my liondiv at my TP.

Anonymous said...

Yahooo..liondiv is now 2.10, I love u sam, I love u $$$$$$ u are the best !

46,000 in the pocket already

eommmm, one persona free already .

I dont mind people called me si bodek with one free persona in less than 3 weeks time.

listen sam, I LOVE YOU VERY MUCH though i am not gay..ha ha ha

Anonymous said...

Thks for the LionDiv tips which i bought at 1.90.

Anonymous said...

sam kor, when counting R/e do consider that the share par value has alredy been split and it has already in creased share capital ??

Anonymous said...

$ifu $am, It seems like Liondiv would b my biggest '08 CNY Ang Pow!
Cheers n Gong Xi fa Cai 2 u $ifu!

chaoticwunderkid. said...

Mr. Samgoss, could you enlightens me whether i still can keep Keladi which i bought at 0.29?. It drops like hell every single days although market scalling new high. Please give me the decision as to sell or keep further.

I am now watching closely RCECAP at 0.89 and hopefully can swap from LionDiv disposal if it reaches the TP of RM2.40.

Anonymous said...

klang patrick, how u get 46000 profit from a single counter???
u must hav bought at least 120lots of liondiv, cost=rm200000, gd on u.

sam, should learn from him so yr profit can triple b4 cny....hahaha

luckily i still hav 50% of my liondiv, my TP will b 2.30, what yr???

Benjamin said...

Tailow, what is "hen" money by the way? @_@??

Seems like the Kianjoo tips really come true. Too bad didn't not catch any because my reserve has been spent on the new electrical appliances and furnitures.

Will move to my new house tomorrow. ^_^ Happy moving ...

Anonymous said...

hi sam. i new in the market and don't have any experience . I buy keladi at price 0.25 for 20 lots and 0.275 for 10 lots, also buy when market drop to 0.215 for 10 lots, now i total hold 40 lots. this counter now hold or sell please advice .and how about the Titan can buy or not. Thanks

Anonymous said...

Sam , mind to disclose your latest portfolio for me to view ? I wanna to follow your every step for trading.

I am currently holding mahsing, Rcecap, liondiv ,DPS & skpres.

TQ

Anonymous said...

Abang tailow, ha ha.. the 46,000 breaks into 2 trades, 1st trade was done about a months ago , 38 lots purchased at 1.73 , sold at avg 2.28 , made about 20,000, then went in again as per sam's call at 1.75 for 85 lots, another 26,000 unrealised profit in pocket, total up = 46,000 lar.

I have Mahsing also but only 20 lots at 1.71 ^$^. not bad yah ?

I dont mind to be named as kaki angkat sifu sam as long as my bank balance keeps growing up..ha ha panggillah apo aje sesuka hati engkau ha ha ha