^V^
At time of this posting, Dow up 88 points..woww... where r all d sub prime worries ? all gone with wind ? really feel sorry for those who short Dow n KL future, told u guys already, mkt is unpredictable, when whole world think that sub prime crisis will pull Dow down for at least 1,000 points, she goes againts d odd, from makro economy view, as i said earlier, World fund will surely move from west to east slowly but surely seeing there r great upside potential for Asia currency n equity ^V^
Back to PE, I left out one important factor of how to avoid wrong picking of Low Pe stock. :-
GEARING = Asset vs Debt
Gearing below 0.5 ( U hv cash $1.00 vs debt of 0.50 )is considered healthy
0.5 to 0.8 ( Cash 1.00 vs debt of 0.50 to 0.80 ) considered normal n acceptable
U should avoid Low PE stock which gearing exceeded 1 !
gearing exceeded 1 means u hv $1.00 but u hv debt more than $1.00
One classical example := Megan
Megan was once stood at PE 2+ (50% return per annum ), in d same time its gearing almost touching 2, in short :- they hv one dollar in hand n also 2 dollars in debt .
If u r not from accounting back ground to find out what is its gearing stand from balance sheet, u can either find it from osk data base or the edge .
FYI, Plenitude is one of d million that having gearing of ZERO ! Low PE(7) plus high NTA >5.00 ( its current NTA 3.20 was calculated in year 2000, by now it should worth >5.00 at least ) ^V^
wowww almost 4am already..gua mahu pergi kow kow g zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
Gd night ^V^
14 comments:
wah uncle sam.. so late/early.....
hmmm... u researching wat woh?!!! Hee hehehehe.... can share share or not?
Anway, thanks for the advice on gearing. Now I am trying to sort out all these info u provided and digest it.
Once again thank thanks.
/Lee
Dear Sam,
Gearing able to filter out Megan, how about cases like transmile? do you think as an outsider could based on available information to detect fraud in transmile....
Hi do you have email to communicate?, want to send some information to you.... appreciate
Do you think that subscirbe to icap report will benefits from investment strategy and profit gain?........
..... Happy Holiday.....
I knew about transmile years ago and has been dealing with them in business, and base on those encounters everything about them seems to be great. So if we follow Peter Lynch, then it should be a great buy.
However, Warren Buffett said airline industry is the worst industry, and apparently what he said applies to transmile as well.
So, uncle Sam, may i ask your opinion on Air Asia? It's cited as the most successful low cost carrier throughout asia/world. PE is around 9. If the company is reporting the truth, it's like we got a Nokia or Microsoft in our homeland.
Dear vince 38, by taking all my 3steps that i mentioned in my previous posting doest not guaranteed u no risk n u can escape from wrong picking, it is to minimise yr wrong picking risk only. KNM used to be one of d darling blue chip counter, they also kena con by d management, what do u think of small investor like us ? no way we can detect that unless u know some high ranking guy whose working in that particular company.
Anyway.. u guys know very well who is d snake head behind KNM ? Ling Liong Snake ^V^
Vince38,
One thing to be added, even auditor (Deloitte) can't even detect the fraud in 2005 don't ever think that small investor (as external party) able to discover fraud. Credibility of management is very important but most of the time, lack of reliable info available. so really have to put our finger cross when we invest. ^_^
:They " is refer to fund manager ^V^
Ben, Exactly !
ENGTEX-OR delisted?!wat happend?uncle sam ?
Dear Sam, Ben, super,
Stay together we get stronger :), we check each other on stock selection....
Talk about transmile, you think it is value buy for now?
The management had changed ( previous records may not be applicable) and somemore under RK, most of RK's counters are ok. You think, at current price is consider value buy, for the next shooting star?
RK's average price should be around 6.** after consider the recent purchase right?
Dear Sam,
Just wondering where you get the info that the NTA of Plenitude was calculated in 2000? In 2006 annual report pg71&72, I notice that the land was revaluated in 1997.
Btw, you mention b4 that it is important to set target price. How do we set target price? Based on peer average PE?
Been reading books by Benjamin Graham but have no clue how to apply in KLSE until I read your blog. Really appreciate your sharing.
/Chen
land revalued in year 97 ? woowww it is even better ^V^ anyway, whether 2000 or 1997 it doesnt matter at all, d fact is its NTA should be much higher than 5.00 ^V^
uncle sam, what you think of Robert Kuok technology arm Redtone? Can give some analysis?
RK's stoks used to be favorite stocks b3, stocks like PPB & maybulk ^V^ esp maybulk.. $$$$$ refer to my portfolio , u will know y i said that ^V^
many many many thanks to you , sam .i have learned a lot from your PE lessons , and also made profit from your call RCEcap , hope you will share more your knowledge with us . good luck to you all .
regards , mei
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